Price history TSLA · Daily ViewHigh 489.88 · Low 298.32H 489.88 · L 298.32RSI 50
20-day avg334.6450-day avg362.42200-day avg401.78High volume3× median
300.00350.00400.00450.00300.00350.00400.00450.00Use the arrow keys to review each day’s close.
RSI · momentum 0–1007-day14-day7030
MACD 12/26/9 · trend momentumMACDsignal0
OctDecFebAprJunAug
Aug 26, 2025Close · −1.7% over this periodAug 26, 2026
Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally.
Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Automotive; and Energy Generation and Storage. The company offers electric vehicles, as well as sells automotive regulatory credits; and non-warranty maintenance services and collision, automotive insurance services, as well as part sales and retail merchandise sale. It also provides sedans and sport utility vehicles through direct and used vehicle sales, a network of Tesla Superchargers, and in-app upgrades; purchase financing and leasing services; services for electric vehicles through its company-owned service locations and Tesla mobile service technicians; and vehicle limited warranties and extended service plans. In addition, the company engages in the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products, and related services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers and utilities through its website, stores, and galleries, as well as through a network of channel partners. Further, it provides services and repairs to its energy product customers, including under warranty and extended service plans; and various financing options to its residential customers; lithium-ion battery energy storage products, such as Powerwall and Megapack; energy generation products, including solar panels and solar roof; self-driving development and artificial intelligence software, vehicle control and infotainment software, and battery and powertrain. The company was formerly known as Tesla Motors, Inc. and changed its name to Tesla, Inc. in February 2017. Tesla, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
Tesla designs and manufactures electric vehicles (its largest but declining revenue source), while pivoting toward AI-driven autonomy via its robotaxi/FSD platform, the Optimus humanoid robot, and a fast-growing, high-margin energy generation and storage (Megapack/solar) business.
Improving momentum Bulls point to the MACD at -1.73 being above its signal line at -6.86, alongside +DI at 27.9 versus -DI at 17.8. They would also cite the 10-day rate of change at 5.24% as evidence that the latest price leg has upward momentum.
Short-term recovery Bulls point to the last close at 350.25 remaining above the 20-day EMA at 343.46, with RSI at 51.9 and stochastic %K at 68.1 indicating room for momentum to continue without an overbought RSI reading. A move above the ~360–365 area would place price back above the 50-day average at 363.73.
What bears would say
Average resistance Bears would note that the last close at 350.25 is below the 50-day moving average at 363.73 and the 200-day moving average at 402.28. They would also cite the most recent 50/200 cross as bearish, 139 days ago.
Limited trend strength Bears would point to ADX at 20.5 as evidence that the rebound lacks strong directional confirmation, while ATR at 12.02, or 3.4% of the close, leaves room for material volatility. A move below the ~327–345 support area would bring the 52-week low at 297.38 closer to the technical map.
AI read
Mixed trend structure The last close at 350.25 remains below the 50-day moving average at 363.73 and the 200-day moving average at 402.28, while ADX at 20.5 indicates limited trend strength. The MACD at -1.73 is above its signal line at -6.86, showing improving momentum within a broader weak trend structure.
Neutral momentum rebound RSI at 51.9 and weekly RSI at 47.1 are broadly neutral, while stochastic %K at 68.1 and the 10-day rate of change at 5.24% show a recent upward swing without an extreme RSI reading. ATR at 12.02, or 3.4% of the close, points to meaningful day-to-day volatility.
Immediate resistance ~360–365 The ~360–365 area contains recent closes near 360.59, 361.83 and 362.86, alongside the 50-day average at 363.73 and upper Bollinger band at 364.31. The last close at 350.25 is below and relatively near this zone, so a move above it would improve the short-term structure, while reversal below it would leave the averages overhead.
Secondary resistance ~374–400 The ~374–400 area reflects repeated closes from 374.01 through 400.62 and includes the 200-day average at 402.28 just above the zone. The last close at 350.25 is below it, making this a higher level that would come into focus only after the nearer resistance is surpassed.
Immediate support ~327–345 The ~327–345 area contains the recent cluster from 327.35 to 345.13 and the 20-day EMA at 343.46. The last close at 350.25 is just above this area, so remaining above it would preserve the recent rebound structure, while a close below it would bring the lower support region back into focus.
Measured trend signal At the current ~335.73–374.26 band, the measured window records a sell signal because the last close at 350.25 is below both the 50-day average at 363.73 and the 200-day at 402.28475; the most recent 50/200 cross was bearish, 139 days ago.
Full analysis
The technical picture is internally mixed. Price at 350.25 is above the 20-day EMA at 343.46, but remains below both the 50-day moving average at 363.73 and the 200-day moving average at 402.28. That leaves the recent rebound visible in the shorter-term measures, while the longer trend structure remains below key averages. The MACD at -1.73 is above its signal line at -6.86, and the last flip was bullish 19 days ago, but both readings remain negative.
Momentum is closer to neutral than stretched. RSI at 51.9 and weekly RSI at 47.1 do not indicate an extreme condition, while stochastic %K at 68.1 and a 10-day rate of change of 5.24% show that the recent move has had upward momentum. ADX at 20.5 indicates that directional conviction is limited, so the combination describes a rebound within a market that can still behave as a range. ATR at 12.02, equal to 3.4% of the close, means that moves around the mapped levels can remain relatively wide.
The first test is the ~360–365 area, where recent closes cluster and both the 50-day average at 363.73 and upper Bollinger band at 364.31 sit. A sustained move above that zone would shift attention toward the ~374–400 area and then the 200-day average at 402.28. Conversely, a reversal below the ~327–345 support area would weaken the short-term rebound structure and put the ~297–320 region, near the 52-week low of 297.38, back in focus. The 52-week high of 498.83 remains substantially above the current price.
Over the past year, overbought RSI episodes happened 4 times, after which the median 3-month move was -10. Over the past year, bullish 50/200-day average crosses happened 1 time and bearish crosses happened 2 times, with the last cross bearish 139 days ago. MACD flips were balanced over that period, with bullish flips at 14 and bearish flips at 14, which reinforces the absence of a single-direction technical read.
Report
The read at a glance
Short term
weeks
Momentum positive
RSI 52
Mid term
months
Downtrend
Price 12.9% below the 200-day MA.
Long term
business quality
Solid
P/E: Elevated multiple.
Volume signalTier C: Baseline
What bulls would say
Revenue expansion Bulls point to revenue growth of 25.5% as evidence of meaningful top-line momentum, while acknowledging earnings growth of -3%.
Cash generation Bulls point to free cash flow of 5.8B versus net income of 3.8B and FCF conversion of 1.51 as evidence that cash generation exceeded reported profit.
Short-term recovery Bulls point to the last close at 350.25 remaining above the 20-day EMA at 343.46, with RSI at 51.9 and stochastic %K at 68.1 leaving momentum measures short of an extreme RSI reading.
What bears would say
Low profit conversion Bears would counter that an operating margin of 1.4%, profit margin of 3.7%, ROE of 4.7%, and ROA of 1.9% describe modest profitability and capital efficiency.
High valuation ratios Bears would note a trailing P/E of 285.5, forward P/E of 140.2, and EV/EBITDA of 111.8 alongside a PEG ratio of 4.56, with the multiples standing against earnings growth of -3%.
Amplified market sensitivity Bears would point to beta of 1.83, annualized volatility of 46.7%, and a past-year drawdown from 1-year high of -29.8 as evidence of substantial market-linked fluctuation.
Profit conversion versus valuation Revenue growth of 25.5% contrasts with earnings growth of -3%, while free cash flow of 5.8B exceeds net income of 3.8B. That cash generation sits alongside a 1.4% operating margin and a trailing P/E of 285.5, leaving growth, profitability and valuation in tension.
Market sensitivity A beta of 1.83 and annualized volatility of 46.7% describe substantial sensitivity to broad-market moves. Correlation with the S&P 500 was 0.69 over 3-month and 0.62 over 1-year, keeping market conditions relevant to the price read.
Resistance and support The last close at 350.25 remains above the ~327–345 support area but below the ~360–365 resistance zone, where the 50-day average is 363.73. Remaining above support preserves the recent rebound structure, while a move through resistance would bring the ~374–400 area into focus.
Upcoming information points The next earnings date is scheduled for 2026-10-21, but no outcome is supplied. The risks list also identifies 0 days of elevated volume, earnings growth of -3%, and the close below the 50-day and 200-day averages as conditions that can undercut the current picture.
Full analysis
The central tension is between meaningful revenue expansion and limited earnings conversion. Revenue growth of 25.5% contrasts with earnings growth of -3%, while free cash flow of 5.8B exceeds net income of 3.8B and FCF conversion is 1.51. That cash profile is constructive in isolation, but the 1.4% operating margin, 3.7% profit margin, ROE of 4.7% and ROA of 1.9% provide a narrower profitability base against a trailing P/E of 285.5 and forward P/E of 140.2.
Price remains in a rebound within an unresolved longer trend. The last close at 350.25 is above the 20-day EMA at 343.46 and the ~327–345 support area, but below the 50-day average at 363.73 and 200-day average at 402.28. The ~360–365 area is the first decision zone, while the ~374–400 area becomes relevant only if nearer resistance is surpassed. The measured window records a sell signal attached to the current ~335.73–374.26 band, because 350.25 is below both averages and the most recent 50/200 cross was bearish, 139 days ago.
In its own recent history, the last close at 350.25 sits against a 52-week high of 498.83 and a 52-week low of 297.38. Returns were 3.97% over 1-week and 13.27% over 1-month, versus -20.46% over 3-month and -20.05% year-to-date. Over the past year, volume-spike conditions at 2x+ the 50-day median occurred 83 times, after which the median 3-month move was 3.6%.
What remains conditional is whether price remains above ~327–345 while activity improves from 0 days of elevated volume, or instead reverses below support with the 52-week low of 297.38 back in focus. The next earnings date is 2026-10-21; investors on X cite Cybercab public rides and Robotaxi expansion (Sept 3 2026), while investors on X also reference a potential negative news reaction ahead of Cybercab events in the Next 1-2 months. Investors on X argue that Robotaxi fleet ramp and utilization could drive record paid miles in Q3, while investors on X also cite execution uncertainty on FSD regulatory approvals and Optimus timelines.
StrengthGrowth & qualityMostly positive profitability and growth votes across available metrics.
CautionTop risk flaggedValuation remains demanding, with a trailing P/E of 285.5, forward P/E of 140.2, and EV/EBITDA of 111.8 against an operating margin of 1.4%.
History
What followed past signals
Episodes from the past year for this stock: what price did in the weeks after each signal fired. Descriptive of the past, not a forecast.
mixed outcomes historically
After daily RSI rose above 70 (4 episodes), the median 3-month move was −10.00%; 2 of 4 episodes were positive over 3 months.
median 1-month move: −2.40%
historically followed by gains
After a volume spike (83 episodes), the median 3-month move was +3.60%; 51 of 83 episodes were positive over 3 months.
median 1-month move: +3.90%
volume 2x+ the 50-day median
1 upward and 2 downward 50/200-day crosses in the period; most recent: downward 50/200-day cross, 139 days ago.
Historical episodes over the past year: descriptive, not predictive. Past patterns do not determine future moves.
Episodes as of Aug 26, 2026
Signals
Signals & levels
Buy and sell signals computed from this stock's own price history; each one shows the sessions it was measured over and what followed them. Descriptive of the past, not a prediction and not advice.
Sell signalSell signal: trend structure
Last close 350.25 is below both the 50-day average at 363.73 and the 200-day at 402.28475. The most recent 50/200 cross was bearish, 139 days ago.
Strongest measured band below the current price
~220.11–258.65
73 sessions closed here, 73 of them with a full three-month window ahead; their median move over those three months was +40.41%, positive in 62 of 73.
Weakest measured band above the current price
~451.34–489.88
28 sessions closed here, 28 of them with a full three-month window ahead; their median move over those three months was −18.24%, positive in 0 of 28.
What followed sessions that closed in each price band
Median move after those sessions at four forward horizons, with the number of measured windows that ended higher.
Price band
Sessions closed
1 month
3 months
6 months
1 year
~451.34–489.88
28
−7.55%0/28
−18.24%0/28
−15.96%0/28, too few non-overlapping windows to support a signal
+0.17%3/4, too few non-overlapping windows to support a signal
~412.8–451.34
106
−4.2%33/106
−8.39%27/97
−14.27%5/86, too few non-overlapping windows to support a signal
+7.65%14/14, too few non-overlapping windows to support a signal
~374.26–412.8
105
−5.38%34/105
−3.01%29/78
Signals are statistical summaries of what followed similar past sessions for this stock. Past behaviour does not determine future results, and nothing here is a recommendation or personal advice.
Measured over 549 sessions, 2024-06-18 to 2026-08-26.
Catalysts & risks
What could move the read
The next known event on the calendar and the risk factors the AI narrative flags, each paired with the figure behind it where one exists.
Next earningsScheduled for Oct 21, 2026, in 55 days.
What bulls would say
Historical activity record Bulls point to the fact that over the past year, volume-spike conditions at 2x+ the 50-day median occurred 83 times, after which the median 3-month move was 3.6% and the positive 3-month share was 61.
Crowd-cited expansion themes Bulls point to investors on X citing Cybercab public rides and Robotaxi expansion (Sept 3 2026), alongside Q3 Robotaxi paid miles record growth (Q3 2026).
Cash generation Bulls point to free cash flow of 5.8B versus net income of 3.8B, with FCF conversion of 1.51 in the supplied period.
What bears would say
Valuation and earnings gap Bears would counter with a trailing P/E of 285.5, forward P/E of 140.2, and earnings growth of -3%, alongside an operating margin of 1.4%.
Historical RSI outcome Bears would note that over the past year, overbought RSI episodes happened 4 times, after which the median 3-month move was -10%, with a positive 3-month share of 50.
Crowd-cited event risk Bears would note that discussion references a potential sell the news reaction ahead of Cybercab events in the Next 1-2 months, while the next earnings date is scheduled for 2026-10-21.
AI read
Scheduled reporting date The next earnings date is scheduled for 2026-10-21. The available information identifies the date but does not provide an outcome for the report.
Historical volume episodes Over the past year, volume-spike conditions at 2x+ the 50-day median occurred 83 times, after which the median 3-month move was 3.6% and the positive 3-month share was 61.
Crowd-cited event themes Investors on X cite Cybercab public rides and Robotaxi expansion (Sept 3 2026), as well as Q3 Robotaxi paid miles record growth (Q3 2026). Discussion also references a potential sell the news reaction ahead of Cybercab events in the Next 1-2 months.
Social sentiment
What X is saying
Voices, catalysts and arguments from public X discussion over the last 90 days: crowd opinion, not analysis.
Mixed
X chatter on TSLA over the last 90 days shows mixed tone with bullish focus on autonomy progress offset by caution on volatility and execution; influential accounts highlight Robotaxi metrics, Cybercab timelines and energy growth while skeptics note price swings and competition.
Discussion themes
Robotaxi and FSD paid miles growthCybercab production and rolloutEnergy storage and grid infrastructureOptimus robotics developmentDelivery beats and valuation volatility
“I've never hoped so much that someone would lose all of their money until now. $TSLA”
Fundamentals
Fundamentals & valuation
Trailing profitability, cash generation, growth, leverage and the full valuation set.
Solid
What bulls would say
Revenue expansion Bulls point to revenue growth of 25.5% as evidence of meaningful top-line momentum, even though earnings growth was -3%.
Cash generation Bulls point to free cash flow of 5.8B versus net income of 3.8B and FCF conversion of 1.51 as evidence that cash generation exceeded reported profit.
Measured leverage Bulls point to debt-to-equity of 18.4 and a current ratio of 1.94 as indicators of limited leverage and available current-asset coverage.
What bears would say
Low profit conversion Bears would counter that an operating margin of 1.4%, profit margin of 3.7%, ROE of 4.7%, and ROA of 1.9% describe modest profitability and capital efficiency.
Earnings contraction Bears would note earnings growth of -3% despite revenue growth of 25.5%, indicating that top-line expansion has not carried through to year-over-year earnings growth.
High valuation ratios Bears would note a trailing P/E of 285.5, forward P/E of 140.2, and EV/EBITDA of 111.8 alongside a PEG ratio of 4.56, with the multiples standing against a 1.4% operating margin and -3% earnings growth.
AI read
Thin operating profitability The 18.9% gross margin narrows to a 1.4% operating margin and a 3.7% profit margin, indicating limited conversion of revenue into operating and net profit. ROE of 4.7% and ROA of 1.9% point to modest capital efficiency.
Mixed growth and cash Revenue growth of 25.5% contrasts with earnings growth of -3%, while free cash flow of 5.8B remains positive against net income of 3.8B. FCF conversion of 1.51 indicates cash generation above reported profit for the measured period.
Moderate balance-sheet leverage Debt-to-equity of 18.4 and a current ratio of 1.94 describe limited balance-sheet leverage alongside current assets exceeding current liabilities. The absence of prior-period capex and FCF conversion figures limits the multi-quarter direction of that picture.
Market context
Correlations & market neighborhood
How this stock's daily returns have co-moved with the benchmark, its sector, rates and peers: descriptive co-movement, not causation.
tends to move with the S&P 500
What bulls would say
Broad equity alignment Bulls point to correlations of 0.69 with the S&P 500 and 0.72 with the Consumer discretionary sector ETF over 3-month, alongside 0.62 and 0.70 over 1-year, as evidence of established participation in broad and sector equity movements.
Limited short positioning Bulls point to a short ratio of 1.61 and short percent of float of 1.9%, describing a relatively limited measured short-interest position, while institutional ownership of 43.7% and insider ownership of 17.8% define the ownership base.
What bears would say
Amplified market sensitivity Bears would counter that beta of 1.83 indicates elevated sensitivity to broad-market swings, with Nasdaq Composite correlations of 0.70 over 3-month and 0.68 over 1-year tying the stock closely to a volatile equity segment.
Volatility co-movement Bears would note the negative VIX correlations of -0.59 over 3-month and -0.53 over 1-year, alongside a past-year drawdown from 1-year high of -29.8 and annualized volatility of 46.7, as evidence of a market-sensitive trading profile.
AI read
Broad market co-movement The stock’s correlation with the S&P 500 was 0.69 over 3-month and 0.62 over 1-year, while its correlation with the Consumer discretionary sector ETF was 0.72 and 0.70. That places sector and index movements at the center of its trading profile, without implying causation.
Elevated market sensitivity A beta of 1.83 indicates greater sensitivity to broad-market return swings than a beta of 1. The 3-month and 1-year correlations with the Nasdaq Composite, at 0.70 and 0.68, and with the Nasdaq-100 ETF, at 0.68 and 0.67, show a stable technology-oriented market relationship across both windows.
Volatility-linked profile The correlation with the VIX volatility index was -0.59 over 3-month and -0.53 over 1-year, while the correlation with the US 10-year Treasury yield was -0.21 and -0.18. These relationships point to a meaningful volatility sensitivity and a weaker rate co-movement.
Accumulation
Full accumulation read
The volume microstructure behind the signal tier: how concentrated and persistent recent buying pressure has been.
No unusual volume pattern
What bulls would say
Positive money flow Bulls point to Chaikin money flow of 0.12 as evidence that closing prices have, in aggregate, reflected positive money-flow conditions. They would pair that with three-day relative volume of 1.12x and five-day relative volume of 1.02x to describe activity that has recently reached or exceeded the 50-day median.
Recent activity pickup Bulls point to the move from one-day relative volume of 0.78x to 1.12x over three days and 1.02x over five days. They would describe that sequence as improving participation, even though 0 days of elevated volume leaves the accumulation case dependent on follow-through.
What bears would say
Down-volume tilt Bears would note that the 50-day up/down volume ratio was 0.93, indicating slightly greater volume on down sessions. They would pair that with the 20-day volume rank of 36.8% to argue that the broader participation profile remains below the more active part of the recent window.
No sustained expansion Bears would point to 0 days of elevated volume, a one-day volume z-score of -0.8, and daily float turnover of 1.1%. They would also note the false stealth accumulation flag, framing the positive Chaikin money flow of 0.12 as insufficient on its own to establish persistent accumulation.
AI read
Recent activity below normal One-day relative volume was 0.78x with a volume z-score of -0.8, while three-day and five-day relative volume were 1.12x and 1.02x. This describes a recent pickup from subdued one-day activity, but not a broad surge.
Middle-lower activity ranking The 20-day volume rank was 36.8%, meaning recent sessions generally sat below the higher-activity portion of the window. With 0 days of elevated volume, participation has not shown a sustained high-volume phase.
Mixed pressure balance Chaikin money flow at 0.12 indicates positive money-flow conditions, while the 50-day up/down volume ratio of 0.93 shows slightly greater volume on down sessions. The two measures therefore provide different signals about participation quality.
−18.43%
6/41, too few non-overlapping windows to support a signal
+8.9%23/23, too few non-overlapping windows to support a signal
~335.73–374.26now
78
+7.47%42/68
+0.34%33/66
+15.13%36/51, too few non-overlapping windows to support a signal
+21.09%39/42, too few non-overlapping windows to support a signal
~297.19–335.73
77
+7.52%49/66
+30.27%60/62
+34.83%62/62, too few non-overlapping windows to support a signal
+23.09%53/59, too few non-overlapping windows to support a signal
~258.65–297.19
43
+4.86%31/43
+17.58%41/43
+53.66%43/43, too few non-overlapping windows to support a signal
+41.05%43/43, too few non-overlapping windows to support a signal
~220.11–258.65
73
+2.34%43/73
+40.41%62/73
+56.19%68/73, too few non-overlapping windows to support a signal
+61.2%73/73, too few non-overlapping windows to support a signal
Last close 350.25 sits in the ~335.73–374.26 band.
Figures shown in grey rest on too few non-overlapping windows to support a signal, and the longest horizons are measured over fewer of them; the counts beside each figure are the windows actually measured.
Full analysis
The clearest calendar item is the next earnings date, scheduled for 2026-10-21. That date marks a defined point for new information, but the supplied data does not describe the report’s result or provide an associated estimate, so its significance is limited to timing rather than direction.
Historical activity episodes provide context without establishing a forward path. Over the past year, volume-spike conditions at 2x+ the 50-day median occurred 83 times, after which the median 1-month move was 3.9% and the median 3-month move was 3.6%, with a positive 3-month share of 61. The current profile has 0 days of elevated volume, so the historical episode record is not a description of present participation.
Technical history is similarly mixed. Over the past year, overbought RSI episodes happened 4 times, after which the median 1-month move was -2.4% and the median 3-month move was -10%, with a positive 3-month share of 50. Over the past year, bullish 50/200-day average crosses happened 1 time and bearish crosses happened 2 times, with the last cross bearish 139 days ago.
Investors on X cite Cybercab public rides and Robotaxi expansion (Sept 3 2026) and Q3 Robotaxi paid miles record growth (Q3 2026). These are crowd-cited discussion themes rather than confirmed events in the supplied information. Discussion also references a potential sell the news reaction ahead of Cybercab events in the Next 1-2 months, adding an explicitly opposing interpretation to the same discussion.
Valuation remains demanding, with a trailing P/E of 285.5, forward P/E of 140.2, and EV/EBITDA of 111.8 against an operating margin of 1.4%.
Earnings momentum is negative at -3% despite revenue growth of 25.5%, leaving the growth and profitability signals uneven.RSI (14): 51.9
Annualized volatility of 46.7% and beta of 1.83 indicate substantial realized fluctuation and elevated sensitivity to broad-market swings.ATR, % of price: 3.4%
The last close at 350.25 remains below the 50-day moving average at 363.73 and the 200-day moving average at 402.28, while current activity includes 0 days of elevated volume.
Positive catalysts
Cybercab public rides and Robotaxi expansionSept 3 2026
Q3 Robotaxi paid miles record growthQ3 2026
Negative catalysts
Potential sell the news reaction ahead of Cybercab eventsNext 1-2 months
What bulls on X argue
Robotaxi fleet ramp and utilization driving record paid miles in Q3
Cybercab production using unboxed process targeting millions of units annually
Tesla selected for South Korea highway EV charging consortium
Energy storage deployments and grid spending tailwinds from domestic infrastructure orders
What bears on X argue
Stock price volatility expected around deployment milestones despite improving fundamentals
Execution uncertainty on FSD regulatory approvals and Optimus timelines
Sourced from public X posts · generated Aug 27, 2026 · quotes are third-party opinions from X users, not statements or advice from FullStockData.
Valuation versus earnings A trailing P/E of 285.5, forward P/E of 140.2, price-to-book of 14.2, price-to-sales of 11.9, and EV/EBITDA of 111.8 represent elevated valuation ratios relative to the 1.4% operating margin and -3% earnings growth. The PEG ratio of 4.56 adds to the tension between the valuation measures and current earnings momentum.
Past-year valuation position Over the past year, the recorded price percentile was 27, while the current P/E was 285.5. The supplied history does not provide the endpoints of the 1-year P/E range, limiting a more precise range comparison.
Full analysis
The profitability profile is uneven across the income statement. A gross margin of 18.9% narrows sharply to a 1.4% operating margin and a 3.7% profit margin, so the principal analytical question is how much of the reported revenue reaches the bottom line. ROE of 4.7% and ROA of 1.9% add a capital-efficiency lens, with both returns remaining modest relative to the scale of the valuation ratios.
Growth provides a mixed signal. Revenue growth of 25.5% is substantial, but earnings growth of -3% shows that revenue expansion has not translated into year-over-year earnings expansion. Free cash flow of 5.8B exceeds net income of 3.8B, and FCF conversion of 1.51 indicates stronger cash conversion than accounting profit in the supplied period. Capex to operating cash flow is 0.69, although the absence of prior-period values prevents a directional assessment of capital spending or conversion.
The balance sheet presents a comparatively measured leverage profile, with debt-to-equity of 18.4 and a current ratio of 1.94. Against that, the valuation measures remain demanding in relation to the current profitability profile: trailing P/E is 285.5, forward P/E is 140.2, price-to-book is 14.2, price-to-sales is 11.9, EV/EBITDA is 111.8, and PEG is 4.56. The past-year price percentile of 27 supplies context for the valuation history, but the available record does not state the endpoints of the 1-year P/E range.
Capex / operating cash flow0.69→flatvs prior period
FCF conversion1.51→flatvs prior period
Figures as of Aug 25, 2026 · end-of-day snapshot
Ownership and positioning Institutional ownership was 43.7% and insider ownership was 17.8%, alongside a short ratio of 1.61 and short percent of float of 1.9%. The relatively limited short positioning is a notable part of the market posture, while ownership figures describe the shareholder mix rather than a directional conclusion.
Constructive breadth backdrop The regional breadth backdrop showed 54.9% of regional stocks above the 200-day average, an advance/decline ratio of 1.25, and net new highs of 228 as of 2026-08-26. These measures describe generally positive participation around the date, rather than the stock’s individual co-movement.
Full analysis
The correlation profile is consistent across the 3-month and 1-year windows. Co-movement with the S&P 500 was 0.69 and 0.62, while sector correlation was higher at 0.72 and 0.70. The Nasdaq Composite and Nasdaq-100 ETF relationships were also close across both periods. This stability suggests that broad equity and sector swings have been persistent reference points for the stock’s daily returns, although correlation does not establish causation.
Beta of 1.83 adds an important qualifier: when the stock moves with the wider market, its return sensitivity is comparatively high. The inverse VIX correlations of -0.59 over 3-month and -0.53 over 1-year reinforce a volatility-sensitive character. Rate co-movement was weaker, at -0.21 and -0.18, so the measured relationship with the US 10-year Treasury yield is less prominent than the equity-market relationships.
Positioning data presents a mixed but clearly defined backdrop. Short interest was 1.61 days to cover and 1.9% of float, while institutional ownership was 43.7% and insider ownership was 17.8%. Those figures identify the degree of reported short positioning and the ownership structure, but they do not by themselves establish future direction. The breadth measures, including 54.9% above the 200-day average, an advance/decline ratio of 1.25, and 228 net new highs, add a constructive regional-market context as of 2026-08-26.
Over the past year, the stock recorded a drawdown from 1-year high of -29.8 and annualized volatility of 46.7. That history places the current market-context read alongside substantial realized fluctuation, while the correlation and beta measures describe how that fluctuation has related to other markets.
Instrumentr · 3mr · 1ystability
S&P 5000.690.62stable across windows
Consumer discretionary sector ETF (XLY)0.720.70stable across windows
VIX volatility index−0.59−0.53stable across windows
US 10-year Treasury yield−0.21−0.18stable across windows
Nasdaq Composite0.700.68stable across windows
Nasdaq-100 ETF (QQQ)0.680.67stable across windows
Quality factor ETF (QUAL)0.640.53stable across windows
Beta1.83vs the market
Short ratio1.61days to cover
Short interest1.94%of float
Market backdrop: 55% of US stocks above their 200-day average · advance/decline ratio 1.25 · +228 net new highs (as of Aug 26, 2026)
Correlation of daily returns over the last 3 months (63 sessions). Correlation describes co-movement, not causation. As of Aug 22, 2026.
Limited float rotation Daily float turnover was 1.1%, against a 50-day median volume of 38.2M shares and median dollar volume of 13.4B. The false stealth accumulation flag and absence of elevated-volume days do not point to persistent quiet accumulation.
Full analysis
Recent participation is close to, or below, its normal reference level rather than displaying a broad expansion. One-day relative volume of 0.78x and a z-score of -0.8 contrast with three-day activity at 1.12x and five-day activity at 1.02x. That combination describes a modest short-window pickup from softer immediate activity, not a clearly established volume acceleration.
The 20-day volume rank of 36.8% and 0 days of elevated volume reinforce the restrained reading. Daily float turnover of 1.1% also indicates limited rotation of the available share base during a typical session. A continuation of activity around or above the 50-day median would make participation behind the move more visible, while a fade back below that reference would leave the recent price action dependent on relatively light engagement.
Money-flow measures are mixed rather than one-directional. Chaikin money flow of 0.12 points to net positive closing-location pressure, but the 50-day up/down volume ratio of 0.93 records slightly more volume on down sessions. If positive money flow persists alongside stronger relative volume, the participation profile would look more durable; if the ratio remains below 1 while activity fades, the buying-pressure interpretation would remain less conclusive.
Over the past year, volume-spike conditions at 2x+ the 50-day median occurred 83 times, after which the median 3-month move was 3.6%; the positive 3-month share was 61. This is descriptive history for unusually active sessions, while the current reading has 0 days of elevated volume and a false stealth accumulation flag.
No stealth accumulation pattern0 day(s) of elevated volume in the recent window
Volume rank (20d percentile)37th
Chaikin money flow (20)0.12
Up/down volume ratio (50d)0.93
Relative volume (1d)0.78×vs 50d median
Relative volume (3d)1.12×vs 50d median
Relative volume (5d)1.02×vs 50d median
Volume z-score (1d)-0.78std devs
Volume z-score (3d)0.41std devs
Float turnover1.05%of float traded
Median volume (50d)38,215,650shares
Median $ volume (50d)$13.39Bdollars
VPD score155.52vol-price divergence
Institutional ownership43.73%of shares held
Insider ownership17.82%of shares held
Inferred from volume microstructure, not holdings filings.
Perspectives
How different investors read this
The same report, read from different investor horizons: what each would count for its case, and what each would count against it.
Long-term holder
Add or trim?
Supporting evidence
Revenue and cash generation Long-term holders point to revenue growth of 25.5%, free cash flow of 5.8B versus net income of 3.8B, and FCF conversion of 1.51. They would read that combination as meaningful top-line expansion alongside cash generation above reported profit, although its durability remains tied to future earnings conversion.
Measured balance-sheet leverage Long-term holders point to debt-to-equity of 18.4 and a current ratio of 1.94. Those figures describe limited balance-sheet leverage and current-asset coverage, giving the multi-year business case a financial-resilience dimension independent of short-term price movement.
Crowd autonomy thesis Investors on X argue that Robotaxi fleet ramp and utilization could drive record paid miles in Q3, while Cybercab production using an unboxed process is described as targeting millions of units annually. For a multi-year reader, these are unverified business-development claims whose relevance depends on the cited operational themes becoming substantiated.
Opposing evidence
Thin profit conversion The same long-term holders would note an operating margin of 1.4%, profit margin of 3.7%, ROE of 4.7%, and ROA of 1.9%. The sharp narrowing from gross margin of 18.9% leaves the long-horizon case dependent on improved conversion of revenue into profit and capital returns.
Earnings growth mismatch Long-term holders would counter that earnings growth was -3% despite revenue growth of 25.5%. That divergence means the reported expansion has not yet translated into year-over-year earnings expansion, limiting the evidence for a strengthening profit trajectory.
Demanding earnings multiples They would also note a trailing P/E of 285.5, forward P/E of 140.2, EV/EBITDA of 111.8, and PEG ratio of 4.56. These ratios leave the multi-year valuation case sensitive to stronger earnings delivery relative to the current 1.4% operating margin.
Crowd execution uncertainty Investors on X argue that execution uncertainty surrounds FSD regulatory approvals and Optimus timelines. That unverified claim works against the long-term case by identifying delivery and timing as conditions that could affect the business narrative.
Evidence from this report, not a recommendation.
Short-term trader
Enter or wait?
Supporting evidence
Rebound momentum Short-term traders point to the MACD at -1.73 being above its signal line at -6.86, alongside a 10-day rate of change of 5.24%. With RSI at 51.9 and stochastic %K at 68.1, the recent upward swing is visible without an extreme RSI reading, leaving the momentum evidence open to continuation or reversal.
Near support structure Traders would note that the last close at 350.25 remains above the 20-day EMA at 343.46 and just above the ~327–345 support area. Remaining above that zone would preserve the recent rebound structure, while a close below it would return the lower support region to focus.
Recent volume pickup Short-term traders point to three-day relative volume of 1.12x and five-day relative volume of 1.02x after one-day relative volume of 0.78x. This describes improving very recent participation, but 0 days of elevated volume leaves the price move without evidence of a sustained high-volume phase.
Opposing evidence
Overhead averages Traders would counter that the last close at 350.25 remains below the 50-day moving average at 363.73 and the 200-day moving average at 402.28. The measured window records a sell signal because the last close at 350.25 is below both averages, with the most recent 50/200 cross bearish, 139 days ago.
Limited directional strength They would note ADX at 20.5, which describes limited trend strength rather than firm directional confirmation. ATR at 12.02, or 3.4% of the close, also means that movement around the ~360–365 resistance area and ~327–345 support area can remain materially wide.
Unresolved participation quality Traders would also cite the 50-day up/down volume ratio of 0.93, the 20-day volume rank of 36.8%, and daily float turnover of 1.1%. Those figures describe slightly greater down-session volume and restrained rotation, while the false stealth accumulation flag weakens the case for persistent accumulation.
Evidence from this report, not a recommendation.
Not yet invested
Start or skip?
Supporting evidence
Cash conversion evidence Prospective investors point to free cash flow of 5.8B versus net income of 3.8B and FCF conversion of 1.51. That evidence describes cash generation above reported profit in the supplied period, giving the starting business case a cash-flow dimension beyond the current price position.
Revenue expansion They would also point to revenue growth of 25.5%. For a new starting point, that figure describes meaningful top-line momentum, while the separate earnings growth of -3% shows that the quality and persistence of the expansion still require scrutiny.
Crowd energy thesis Investors on X argue that energy storage deployments and grid spending could benefit from domestic infrastructure orders. This is an unverified business claim, relevant to what a prospective investor would be starting into rather than to the stock’s recent chart alone.
Opposing evidence
Earnings conversion gap Prospective investors would counter that earnings growth was -3% despite revenue growth of 25.5%, alongside an operating margin of 1.4%. That combination describes expansion without corresponding year-over-year earnings growth, making the business evidence less uniform at the starting point.
Valuation burden They would note a trailing P/E of 285.5, forward P/E of 140.2, price-to-sales of 11.9, and price-to-book of 14.2. These ratios mean the entry context remains closely tied to future improvement in profitability rather than being explained by current earnings alone.
Price below key averages The last close at 350.25 sits below a 52-week high of 498.83 and above a 52-week low of 297.38, while also remaining below the 50-day moving average at 363.73 and the 200-day moving average at 402.28. That describes the starting price context and a still-unresolved trend structure, with a move above ~360–365 differing technically from a close below ~327–345.
Crowd regulatory concerns Investors on X argue that execution uncertainty surrounds FSD regulatory approvals and Optimus timelines. This unverified claim works against the business case for a new position because it identifies unresolved delivery conditions rather than a confirmed operating result.
Looking ahead
What has to go right?
What would need to stay true
Scheduled earnings information The next earnings date is scheduled for 2026-10-21. The forward condition is that this dated reporting point would need to provide new information relevant to the gap between revenue growth of 25.5% and earnings growth of -3%; the available data does not establish an outcome.
Price structure recovery The last close at 350.25 remains above the 20-day EMA at 343.46 and near the ~360–365 area. For the current technical picture to keep developing, price would need to remain above ~327–345 and move through the nearer resistance area, bringing the ~374–400 region into focus.
Crowd-cited autonomy events Investors on X cite Cybercab public rides and Robotaxi expansion (Sept 3 2026), as well as Q3 Robotaxi paid miles record growth (Q3 2026). These are unverified crowd-cited conditions that would need to materialize as described for that part of the forward narrative to remain intact.
What could undercut it
Profitability under pressure An operating margin of 1.4% and earnings growth of -3% could undercut the forward picture if revenue growth of 25.5% continues without stronger earnings conversion. The condition matters because the trailing P/E of 285.5 and forward P/E of 140.2 leave the narrative exposed to weak profit delivery.
Market sensitivity Annualized volatility of 46.7% and beta of 1.83 describe a forward setting that could be undercut by broad-market swings. The negative VIX correlation of -0.59 over 3-month adds a measured volatility-sensitive element to that condition.
Crowd-cited event risk Investors on X cite a potential sell the news reaction ahead of Cybercab events in the Next 1-2 months. This is an unverified opposing interpretation of the same event calendar, and it identifies a way the forward narrative could be undercut even if the events remain in focus.
What X is saying
Voices, catalysts and arguments from public X discussion over the last 90 days: crowd opinion, not analysis.
X chatter on TSLA over the last 90 days shows mixed tone with bullish focus on autonomy progress offset by caution on volatility and execution; influential accounts highlight Robotaxi metrics, Cybercab timelines and energy growth while skeptics note price swings and competition.